December 4 – Lecture: The Changing Climate of Weather Prognostication: The Irony of Uncertainty Leading to Better Forecasts
Speaker: Greg Fishel, Chief Meteorologist at Capital Broadcasting Company
Lecture: The Changing Climate of Weather Prognostication: The Irony of Uncertainty Leading to Better Forecasts
Dates: Wednesday, December 4, 2013
Time: 7:00pm – 8:00pm
Location: James B. Hunt, Jr. Library on N.C. State University’s Centennial Campus
SAMSI is hosting this lecture. There is no charge to attend the event, and the lecture is open to all.
James B. Hunt, Jr. Library on N.C. State University’s Centennial Campus
Abstract: For years, computer model forecasts have been shown on TV as a single, what we call deterministic solution. These forecasts are destined to be wrong, with the only question being by how much. A different approach is sprouting roots, where the emphasis is not just on a forecast, but on the degree of uncertainty in that forecast. Greg will discuss how talking about uncertainty will help in delivering a better forecast.