Tree Eaters: Predicting the response of herbivores to the integrated effects of urban and global change
Rob Dunn, North Carolina State University; and Steve Frank, North Carolina State University
Project Completion: September 2014
Implements Science Theme: 4
LCC Partners: xxx
Exotic pests, urbanization and climate change threaten North American forests. One dramatic manifestation of this threat is the regional or global extinction of tree species. Losses of tree species affect wildlife, ecosystem processes, and human health. However, predicting and mitigating the effects of such losses has so far been unsuccessful. We propose to use a variety of data sources, including the Forest Inventory data (http://www.fia.fs.fed.us) to document the relationship between forest species composition and tree death. We will use a suite of modeling approaches to look at 1) how the number of tree deaths in a stand varies as a function of diversity and composition of the stand both, overall, and for stands where a known invasion has occurred, 2) and how the recovery of tree species composition after death of large number of trees varies as a function of initial tree diversity and composition.